For a comprehensive review of the Europe market, click below:
HVS In-Depth Europe Hotel Valuation Index:
2024
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2020
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2001
Birmingham’s population has increased by more than 100,000 over the last decade and reached around 1.1 million in 2023. It is considered the ‘youngest’ city in Europe as 40% of Birmingham’s residents are estimated to be under 25, owing mainly to the large number of students. Birmingham has become an events-led market, as the variety of theatres, concert halls and venues across the well-located city have helped forge a reputation for culture and the arts. Birmingham was a host city for the 2022 Commonwealth Games, the first in England since Manchester in 2002. The event counted a record 1.5 million spectators, which made it the most popular Commonwealth Games to have ever been held in the UK. The former £1.3 billion city master plan, initiated in 2007, was revised by the council and replaced in light of the pandemic. The ’Our Future City Plan’ has recently been launched in Birmingham, which is a 20-year development aiming at improving economic, social and environmental aspects of the city by 2040. MICE demand is also strong in Birmingham, as it is home to the Birmingham National Exhibition Centre, which is located close to the airport and is able to compete with other large UK exhibition centres thanks to major annual events such as the Spring Fair, the Autumn Fair and the Caravan Show.
Hotel occupancy grew from the mid-60s in 2009 to the mid-70s in 2019. Meanwhile, after three years of steady growth above 5.0%, average rate saw close to inflationary increases in 2017 and 2018, slightly contracting afterwards in 2019. The city’s hotel performance in 2020 and 2021 was strongly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2022, the Birmingham hotel market experienced a significant uplift in both occupancy and average rates, returning the RevPAR to pre-pandemic levels, representing between 2.5% and 5% increase on the 2019 RevPAR in real terms. During 2023, Birmingham’s hotel demand returned to just under the historical level and, even though the average rate saw modest nominal growth, which pushed its RevPAR to almost 5% above that of 2019 in real terms.
Birmingham’s pipeline over the next few years consists of 12 projects representing an aggregate almost 2,000 rooms (13% of the existing supply). Most of these developments fall within the Upper Midscale and Upscale classes and will be independently operated. The most notable developments include the 229-room Square Hotel (opening in April 2024); the 155-room Dean Birmingham (November 2025) and the 175-room Wolverley House (December 2025).
In 2023, the hotel transaction volume in Birmingham remained very limited, with the only transaction being the sale of the 120-room ibis Styles Birmingham Centre for €17.3 million (or €144,000 per room) in December.
Overall, our HVI analysis indicates a value increase of 0.8% per key in euro terms (-1.7% in pounds sterling) for Birmingham in 2023 compared to 2022, which represents a recovery of Birmingham’s hotel values to 97% of the 2019 level.
The widespread impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) has had an unprecedented impact on hotels and hotel values worldwide.
Consequently, the latest HVI analysis may no longer reflect the most current measure of lodging industry strength or the
hospitality investment market.
In each of our offices across the globe, we are working tirelessly to analyze the impact of recent events and provide timely
insights to help you navigate these uncharted waters. Because it is unclear how long the pandemic will last or how long related
restrictions will be in place, we are updating our analyses on a weekly basis using the most current data.
Additionally, examination of value trends in prior cycles can provide useful information. Historical patterns, together with
an understanding of the market’s current expectations for the eventual recovery of the industry and its performance, can provide
insights on the likely trajectory of decline and recovery for hotel values.
For the Latest Information and Analysis on the Impact of COVID-19Click Here
If you’d like to speak to someone personally to review details of our most current analysis, please don’t hesitate to contact
us directly.
ADR, Demand, Occupancy, RevPAR, and Supply Projections:
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ADR Change
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Market Demand Change
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Hotel Occupancy Increase/Decrease
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RevPAR Change
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0.0%
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Market Supply Growth
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