For a comprehensive review of the Africa market, click below:
HVS In-Depth Africa Hotel Valuation Index:
2021
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2016
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2015
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2014
The Lagos market is driven almost entirely by corporate demand, with minimal leisure contribution. A relatively stable supply between 2019 and 2025, coupled with increased corporate activity, has led to a notable rise in occupancy levels, albeit at the expense of average rates. Overall, RevPAR has grown by approximately 34% during this period, primarily due to stronger occupancy, contributing to the projected increase in value per key. Perceived investment risks, primarily related to the challenges of fund repatriation, and an instable Nigerian Naira have further constrained growth in the city’s value per key.
The widespread impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) has had an unprecedented impact on hotels and hotel values worldwide.
Consequently, the latest HVI analysis may no longer reflect the most current measure of lodging industry strength or the
hospitality investment market.
In each of our offices across the globe, we are working tirelessly to analyze the impact of recent events and provide timely
insights to help you navigate these uncharted waters. Because it is unclear how long the pandemic will last or how long related
restrictions will be in place, we are updating our analyses on a weekly basis using the most current data.
Additionally, examination of value trends in prior cycles can provide useful information. Historical patterns, together with
an understanding of the market’s current expectations for the eventual recovery of the industry and its performance, can provide
insights on the likely trajectory of decline and recovery for hotel values.
For the Latest Information and Analysis on the Impact of COVID-19Click Here
If you’d like to speak to someone personally to review details of our most current analysis, please don’t hesitate to contact
us directly.
ADR, Demand, Occupancy, RevPAR, and Supply Projections:
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| ADR Change
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| Market Demand Change
|
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| Hotel Occupancy Increase/Decrease
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|
| RevPAR Change
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0.0%
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| Market Supply Growth
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Change In Value For Market:
Legend
| Significant Value Increase:
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Greater than +10%
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| Moderate Value Increase:
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Between +3% and +10%
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| Stable Values:
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Between -3% and +3%
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| Moderate Value Decline:
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Between -3% and -10%
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| Significant Value Decline:
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More than -10%
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Nigeria - Lagos RevPAR Change
Nigeria - Lagos RevPAR
| Year |
RevPAR |
| 2015 |
99.80
|
| 2016 |
80.90
|
| 2017 |
73.50
|
| 2018 |
76.40
|
| 2019 |
77.10
|
| 2020 |
78.10
|
| 2021 |
74.20
|
| 2022 |
|
| 2023 |
|
| 2024 |
|
| 2025 (f) |
|