United States -  New York

New York City is considered the financial capital of the world, with international banking and investment institutions generating year-round commercial demand. It is also an international cultural destination, drawing leisure travelers by the millions each year. As such, New York City has historically been among the top-performing lodging markets in the United States. While demand fundamentals have remained strong, RevPAR has moderated in recent years due to the influence of new supply. Overall, nearly 35,000 rooms have entered the market since 2007, with the pace of supply growth accelerating notably in 2014 as projects conceived in the context of the strong recovery of 2011 and 2012 came to fruition. As a result of supply increases, hotel operators relied more heavily on price as a marketing tool, accepting more discounted business to supplement traditional, higher-rated demand sources. Notably, however, different submarkets within the city have achieved results that vary, in some cases significantly, from the aggregate market performance. For example, hotels in more prime Manhattan locations and the less price-sensitive luxury segment have registered more favorable performance than the market average; conversely, tertiary submarkets and older hotel properties that lack strong brand support have registered notable declines in recent years.

The NYC market was hard hit by the pandemic; high rates of infection, strict restrictions, and the closure of the convention center and offices caused all demand segments to decline. Leisure demand began to return in April 2021 and strengthened through December 2021. The emergence of COVID-19 variants contributed to softer leisure demand from December 2021 into early 2022. Restrictions were lifted in March 2022, and meeting/group demand and corporate travel gradually returned mid-year 2022, a trend that continued into 2023. The newly renovated and expanded convention center also hosted numerous sizeable events during that time. International travel began to increase in March 2022; however, a full market recovery will require the continued return of this demand source. In 2022, ADR exceeded the 2019 level, while occupancy's gains were slower; as such, market RevPAR nearly reached the 2019 level, and this trend continued into 2023. Although the supply pipeline remains dense, the pandemic-related hotel closures and building-use conversions, the cancellation of other projects, and the December 2021 Citywide Hotels Text Amendment (to the NYC Zoning Resolution) should mitigate the impact of new supply. Moreover, NYC's role as an international center for business and tourism should allow the market to regain pre-pandemic RevPAR levels.

* Although the HVI cannot tell you what a particular hotel is worth, it does provide excellent “big picture” data, indicating which market areas are experiencing positive trends, and thus may present good investment opportunities. The HVI for the U.S. is a measure of the strength of the lodging industry as a whole and, specifically, the hospitality investment market. The HVI for the various identified markets can provide a basis to evaluate and compare different geographic regions. For more insight on the limitations and applicability of the HVI, please read the message on the HVI home page by clicking on the graphic at the top of this page.

Change In Value For Market:

Significant Value Increase: Greater than +10%
Moderate Value Increase: Between +3% and +10%
Stable Values: Between -3% and +3%
Moderate Value Decline: Between -3% and -10%
Significant Value Decline: More than -10%

For more information, please contact:

Roland deMilleret, MAI
Senior Managing Director
Valuation, Market & Feasibility Consulting
[email protected]
  • +1 516 248-8828 (w)
  • +1 516 209-7305 (m)
Anne Lloyd-Jones, MAI, CRE
Director of Consulting & Valuation Services
National Practice Leader
[email protected]
  • +1 516 248-8828 (w)
Patricia Shih
Vice President
Valuation, Market & Feasibility Consulting
[email protected]
  • +1 404 791-5509 (w)