For a comprehensive review of the Canada market, click below:
HVS In-Depth Canada Hotel Valuation Index:
2019
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2018
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2017
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2016
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2015
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2014
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2013
HALIFAX-DARTMOUTH plays a major role in the economy of Atlantic Canada. Halifax realized a healthy GDP growth of 2.6% in 2019, above the increases of 1.9% and 1.6% seen in the two previous years. The manufacturing and construction sectors, particularly ongoing shipbuilding work, have been fuelling economic growth in the city. While the manufacturing sector is expanding and contributing to the overall growth in the market, the primary and utilities sector is expected to grow slightly, after contracting significantly over the last few years. The decline in output in this sector was mainly due to the maturation of the offshore natural gas sector. The decommissioning process for Encana's Deep Panuke Project and ExxonMobil's Sable Offshore Energy Project was completed at the end of 2019. Numerous projects are taking place in 2020, including the Queen’s Marque mixed-use development in downtown Halifax, upgrades to Mic Mac Mall in Dartmouth, the expansion and renovation of the QEII Hospital and the Dartmouth General Hospital.
The city and the province are facing a deep recession, mainly due to the coronavirus pandemic that is simultaneously bringing domestic economic activity to a halt and reducing demand for the province’s export-intensive industries. The emergency measures put in place and stay-at-home orders to contain the virus’s spread are devastating for the Halifax-Dartmouth hotel sector. The pandemic will severely limit the number of international tourists that visit Halifax in 2020. The cruise ship activity at the Port of Halifax will also likely come to a halt this year. As such, it is reasonable to expect that the number of visitors from overseas, as well as the U.S., will likely be down considerably this year. The pandemic will undoubtedly have a negative impact on 2020 hotel values resulting in significant value decreases, returning to moderate growth in values by 2021.
The widespread impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) has had an unprecedented impact on hotels and hotel values worldwide.
Consequently, the latest HVI analysis may no longer reflect the most current measure of lodging industry strength or the
hospitality investment market.
In each of our offices across the globe, we are working tirelessly to analyze the impact of recent events and provide timely
insights to help you navigate these uncharted waters. Because it is unclear how long the pandemic will last or how long related
restrictions will be in place, we are updating our analyses on a weekly basis using the most current data.
Additionally, examination of value trends in prior cycles can provide useful information. Historical patterns, together with
an understanding of the market’s current expectations for the eventual recovery of the industry and its performance, can provide
insights on the likely trajectory of decline and recovery for hotel values.
For the Latest Information and Analysis on the Impact of COVID-19Click Here
If you’d like to speak to someone personally to review details of our most current analysis, please don’t hesitate to contact
us directly.
ADR, Demand, Occupancy, RevPAR, and Supply Projections:
|
ADR Change
|
Market Demand Change
|
Hotel Occupancy Increase/Decrease
|
RevPAR Change
|
Market Supply Growth
|
Change In Value For Market:
($CAD)
Legend
Significant Value Increase:
|
Greater than +10%
|
Moderate Value Increase:
|
Between +3% and +10%
|
Stable Values:
|
Between -3% and +3%
|
Moderate Value Decline:
|
Between -3% and -10%
|
Significant Value Decline:
|
More than -10%
|
Halifax-Dartmouth RevPAR Change
($CAD)
Halifax-Dartmouth RevPAR
($CAD)
Year |
RevPAR |
2006 |
$83.67
|
2007 |
$87.80
|
2008 |
$86.67
|
2009 |
$78.83
|
2010 |
$79.64
|
2011 |
$80.22
|
2012 |
$81.82
|
2013 |
$80.27
|
2014 |
$81.30
|
2015 |
$84.51
|
2016 |
$93.45
|
2017 |
$107.24
|
2018 |
$108.83
|
2019 |
$107.74
|
2020 |
$108.57
|
2021 |
$109.69
|
2022 |
$111.88
|
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